Well , if the belt is cracked or loose that will need changed. I know it seems weird the miss fire at 45 to 55 when it's warm, but that is not uncommon, I have 3 vehicles, two since new and I do maintenance probably to fault. But I have discovered tune ups are a big deal. Now with your year Expo I would not recommend changing plugs myself due to the fact the plugs and threads my pull out. Have a Mechanic, one you trust do it. Do you notice this misfire more during damp conditions like it has rained or is raining?? You probably have a spark plug or more with the tips almost burned off. Don't you worry though, if you do nothing it will throw a code sooner or later.
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